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Churn

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The rate of customers or users who stop using your product over a given period.

In practice

Two churns worth telling apart: logo churn (number of customers lost) and revenue churn (amount lost) — a customer who downgrades without leaving counts in the second, not the first. Another useful split: voluntary churn (the customer decides to leave) vs. involuntary churn (a failed payment) — the latter is often fixed with plain billing mechanics. The strongest health signal a SaaS team can aim for is "negative churn": expansion revenue from existing customers (upsell) outpacing what churn takes away.

The formula

Churn rate = customers lost during a period ÷ customers at the start of that period

Customers lost

Those who were customers at the start and aren't at the end. Don't count the ones who signed up and left within the same period — that's a different problem (activation), and it distorts the rate.

Start of period

The denominator is the opening count, not the average or the closing one. Using the closing count during fast growth makes churn look lower than it is.

Revenue churn

Same formula with revenue instead of customers: MRR lost (cancellations + downgrades) ÷ MRR at the start. Net revenue churn also subtracts expansion from existing customers, and can go negative.

Churn and retention are two faces of one number: 5% monthly churn is 95% monthly retention. Retention is usually read by cohort over time (D7, D30, month 6); churn is usually read as a rate per period. Same customers, two views.

Worked example

One month, three churns

  1. Start of month: 400 customers, €20,000 MRR. During the month: 12 cancel (€600 MRR), 8 downgrade (−€400 MRR), 15 upgrade (+€900 MRR).
  2. Logo churn: 12 ÷ 400 = 3%.
  3. Gross revenue churn: (600 + 400) ÷ 20,000 = 5%.
  4. Net revenue churn: (600 + 400 − 900) ÷ 20,000 = 0.5%. Had upgrades brought €1,200 instead of €900, net churn would be −1%: negative churn, a revenue base growing on its own.

Three true numbers for one month, from 3% to 0.5%. Whoever reports "our churn is X" without saying which one is either simplifying — or choosing the flattering one.

Orders of magnitude

How to improve it

In the Tour

The question that measures it

Do you know your main cause of churn?

  • Yes, backed by data or interviews20 pts
  • A hunch, not confirmed7 pts
  • No idea0 pts

Two Retention questions touch churn. "Do you track a retention rate?" measures whether you can see it; "Do you know your main cause of churn?" measures whether you understand it — 20 points for a cause backed by data or interviews, 7 for a hunch, 0 for none. A team that tracks the rate but can't name the cause typically lands in the 10-15 band: the dashboard exists, the diagnosis doesn't.

Questions people ask

How do I convert monthly churn to annual churn?

Not by multiplying by twelve. Annual churn = 1 − (1 − monthly churn)¹². At 2% monthly that is 1 − 0.98¹² ≈ 21.5%, not 24%; at 5% it is ≈ 46%, not 60%. The gap grows with the rate, and the multiplied version always overstates.

What is negative churn?

Net revenue churn below zero: over a period, the extra revenue from existing customers who upgraded or bought more exceeds the revenue lost to cancellations and downgrades. The customer base can shrink in logos while growing in revenue. It requires a pricing model with room to grow — seats, usage, tiers — and it is the reason "expansion playbook" is one of the Tour's Revenue questions.

Is a churned customer who comes back still churn?

Count the churn when it happens and the return as a reactivation, separately. Netting them out hides both stories: why they left, and how you won them back — the second being a channel worth knowing. Most subscription analytics tools report reactivations on their own line for exactly this reason.

Related terms

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